SO, as per usual this is in retrospect of the weeks games, instead of a preview of the upcoming games.
Week 8
Yet another average week in the picks for me. I do about as well as the coin toss on a weekly basis, with a 50% or better percentage, although I haven't actually resorted to the coin toss to help with my picks yet. 27/49 for 55% While there were small discrepancies in who would cover the spread, who would win outright, and who would lose
My big pick win was
- Iowa State over Texas. Texas was the favorite by 21 points. Iowa walked into Memorial Stadium and grabbed the Horns by the horns. They forced 4 turnovers in a tornado of fast and furious plays. Statistically they should not have won the game. They had fewer first downs, and more penalties, but made the most of their possession time. They scored first, and then held strong the whole game despite attempts by Texas to rally. Whether it was Garrett Gilberts inability to hit his target, or the fact that the Iowa State defense kept chipping at the Longhorns offense... one thing is for sure - It was a magic day for the Cyclones, and they left a trail of destruction on the horns home field, and giving Mack Brown his second consecutive home loss since 1997. Congrats to Iowa State on their first win over Texas, and on a ranked team on the road in over 2 decades!
Iowa State 28 Texas 21
I am predicting a week 9 upset of Baylor over Texas :)
Monday, October 25, 2010
Wednesday, October 20, 2010
Fem Football - week 7, Aloha! huh? sigh... Aloha...
EEEEEEEEKKKKKKK! I did what? For those who may not know, Aloha, means hello AND goodbye. Why am I saying that in a football blog? Because, this weekend, Saturday the 16th, I threw a Luau birthday party for a [turning] 3 year old. It was great! There were leis, coconut cups to drink out of, tiki torches, and fantastic beach birthday cake! Organizing the decorations + planning the menu + packing good bags + shopping for last minute items (like a pineapple) = I forgot to do my picks.
Yeah. I know.
Thankfully, there is a default in our little program. Preseason we choose how we want our "missed" weeks to auto pick for us. I default to the favorites. Choices are favorites, underdogs, home team, road team...so while you won't miss a week, you don't get much choice in the picks other than that variant. I defaulted 24/50... ho hum.
So other than the stupid mistake of NOT doing my picks this week, I can't blog about why I picked so and so, and his hair, or any other choices I made.
So I will go to another default, this time for the blog. I will actually talk about some of the football info floating around out there.
I will now reach into my helmet and magically pull out a topic...
Oklahoma, Oklahoma VS Iowa State, and Oklahoma vs Missouri - No for the record, I am not a Sooners fan, but I am married to one.
I didn't pick this team for that reason though.
Oklahoma vs Iowa State - this is the game that put Oklahoma back in the #1 spot. While they hold a few records for this spot, such as "most weeks ranked #1" which sits at 97 weeks, and a streak of 15 consecutive weeks ranked #1, this spot has been eluding them for some time now. In 2004 they were seated number 2 from preseason, through the end, where they lost the BCS championship title to LSU 21-14. Thats when the trouble started. They spent the next 2 years barely waving in and out of the top 25, 2007 they seemed to be getting their groove back, and 2008 they were back in the top 10 all season, even taking turns in the #1 seat weeks 5 and 6. Again they played for the BCS Championship title, and AGAIN they lost - this time to the Gators, and the not so Tiny Tim Tebow 24-14. Which made 2009 an interesting season. We expected the team we saw the year before, but instead the team lost that loving feeling and fell out of the top 25 in week 10. They remained outside the circle for the rest of the season. HUH??
This brings us to this year. They magically managed a number 7 ranking in the preseason, and after some sketchy "almost losses "that were somehow wins, find themselves in the #1 seat once again. A 52-0 victory over Iowa State, more than doubling the spread of 23.5, Ryan Broyles had 182 yards receiving and DeMarco Murray set the school record for most TDs during their stomping of Iowa State, bringing his total to 58 [career touchdowns]. Iowa State was still reeling from their 68-27 loss to Utah, but looked like a high school team with barely 183 total yards the whole game despite 27:03 minutes of possession time. The Sooners magic offense and defense made the most of their 32:57 minutes of possession with 37 first downs, 7 TDs and a field goal. Could this be the team we once knew?
Remaining in the number one spot is going to be tough, and with the schedule set ahead of them, some may say impossible. They are only favored 3 points over next weeks Missouri. Missouri, who managed 7 sacks in last weeks game vs Texas A&M, winning 30-9, will be OU's biggest test this season, despite their 11th place ranking. Missouri is 6-0, Oklahoma is 6-0, Oklahoma has won seven in a row over Missouri and 19 of 20 in the series, with the Tigers' only victory coming in 1998.
The Tigers 35 point game average, and impeccable defense take on the Sooners record setting offense....
Eenie Meenie Minie Mo, can a Sooner catch a Tiger by the toe, again?
dum dum dum.... tune in next week, and find out!
Yeah. I know.
Thankfully, there is a default in our little program. Preseason we choose how we want our "missed" weeks to auto pick for us. I default to the favorites. Choices are favorites, underdogs, home team, road team...so while you won't miss a week, you don't get much choice in the picks other than that variant. I defaulted 24/50... ho hum.
So other than the stupid mistake of NOT doing my picks this week, I can't blog about why I picked so and so, and his hair, or any other choices I made.
So I will go to another default, this time for the blog. I will actually talk about some of the football info floating around out there.
I will now reach into my helmet and magically pull out a topic...
Oklahoma, Oklahoma VS Iowa State, and Oklahoma vs Missouri - No for the record, I am not a Sooners fan, but I am married to one.
I didn't pick this team for that reason though.
Oklahoma vs Iowa State - this is the game that put Oklahoma back in the #1 spot. While they hold a few records for this spot, such as "most weeks ranked #1" which sits at 97 weeks, and a streak of 15 consecutive weeks ranked #1, this spot has been eluding them for some time now. In 2004 they were seated number 2 from preseason, through the end, where they lost the BCS championship title to LSU 21-14. Thats when the trouble started. They spent the next 2 years barely waving in and out of the top 25, 2007 they seemed to be getting their groove back, and 2008 they were back in the top 10 all season, even taking turns in the #1 seat weeks 5 and 6. Again they played for the BCS Championship title, and AGAIN they lost - this time to the Gators, and the not so Tiny Tim Tebow 24-14. Which made 2009 an interesting season. We expected the team we saw the year before, but instead the team lost that loving feeling and fell out of the top 25 in week 10. They remained outside the circle for the rest of the season. HUH??
This brings us to this year. They magically managed a number 7 ranking in the preseason, and after some sketchy "almost losses "that were somehow wins, find themselves in the #1 seat once again. A 52-0 victory over Iowa State, more than doubling the spread of 23.5, Ryan Broyles had 182 yards receiving and DeMarco Murray set the school record for most TDs during their stomping of Iowa State, bringing his total to 58 [career touchdowns]. Iowa State was still reeling from their 68-27 loss to Utah, but looked like a high school team with barely 183 total yards the whole game despite 27:03 minutes of possession time. The Sooners magic offense and defense made the most of their 32:57 minutes of possession with 37 first downs, 7 TDs and a field goal. Could this be the team we once knew?
Remaining in the number one spot is going to be tough, and with the schedule set ahead of them, some may say impossible. They are only favored 3 points over next weeks Missouri. Missouri, who managed 7 sacks in last weeks game vs Texas A&M, winning 30-9, will be OU's biggest test this season, despite their 11th place ranking. Missouri is 6-0, Oklahoma is 6-0, Oklahoma has won seven in a row over Missouri and 19 of 20 in the series, with the Tigers' only victory coming in 1998.
The Tigers 35 point game average, and impeccable defense take on the Sooners record setting offense....
Eenie Meenie Minie Mo, can a Sooner catch a Tiger by the toe, again?
dum dum dum.... tune in next week, and find out!
Wednesday, October 13, 2010
Fem Football Week 6 - Murphys Law
After last weeks little experiment, I decided to go back to my usual science in my picks. Now as it is not really proprietary info, I don't mind sharing a bit of my personal picking logic.
I go to the teams ESPN page. I look at passing yards, rushing yards, previous scores, influential injuries, and a few other minor stats and weigh that against the same of the opponent. Then I take that and weigh it against the spread. While some think its an archaic way to to pick football, it definitely adds some extra oomph to the picks. Sometimes the spread is just outrageous, and you think there is no way the team can win by that much. Ya never really know. Teams have stomped a 3 point spread with a score of 60-0, or not come close to covering a 35 point spread and barely winning by a field goal. Regardless, the spread is part of the action in the betting world, and my little "upick" world. So with those factors all calculated, I pick my teams and hope for the best.
Week 6 had a few hard to call spreads. Michigan (favored +5) v Michigan State. Not only did they NOT cover a 5 point spread, they LOST 34-17! UGH.
LSU 33 v Florida 29 (favored +7.5)
S Carolina 35 v Alabama 21 (favored +8)
shall I go on?
TCU had a 35 point spread to cover over Wyoming, and did so with 45-0 win. Now, while I fully appreciate TCU's perfect record and expected them to win, I did not expect the little Horny Frogs to deliver quite so well. I sadly picked the Cowboys to not allow coverage! ACK. I am going to take TCU over BYU next week. GO FROGS
Out of pure loyalty I ALWAYS pick Tennessee to win. Part of me is afraid that if I don't, I could be the hex that makes them lose. Like not clapping for Tinkerbell, not believing in your team, could kill them. As the VOLS are still adjusting to the new coach (again), and the after math of Lane Kiffin, it looks as if we may have a few more "rebuilding years" to go. I keep clapping and believing, and am hopeful that it will all come together sooner rather than later.
In the end this week was below average. 21/45 But I was reminded of something this week, that I learned a long time ago.... the coin toss applies to more than just who starts the game off with a kick!
I go to the teams ESPN page. I look at passing yards, rushing yards, previous scores, influential injuries, and a few other minor stats and weigh that against the same of the opponent. Then I take that and weigh it against the spread. While some think its an archaic way to to pick football, it definitely adds some extra oomph to the picks. Sometimes the spread is just outrageous, and you think there is no way the team can win by that much. Ya never really know. Teams have stomped a 3 point spread with a score of 60-0, or not come close to covering a 35 point spread and barely winning by a field goal. Regardless, the spread is part of the action in the betting world, and my little "upick" world. So with those factors all calculated, I pick my teams and hope for the best.
Week 6 had a few hard to call spreads. Michigan (favored +5) v Michigan State. Not only did they NOT cover a 5 point spread, they LOST 34-17! UGH.
LSU 33 v Florida 29 (favored +7.5)
S Carolina 35 v Alabama 21 (favored +8)
shall I go on?
TCU had a 35 point spread to cover over Wyoming, and did so with 45-0 win. Now, while I fully appreciate TCU's perfect record and expected them to win, I did not expect the little Horny Frogs to deliver quite so well. I sadly picked the Cowboys to not allow coverage! ACK. I am going to take TCU over BYU next week. GO FROGS
Out of pure loyalty I ALWAYS pick Tennessee to win. Part of me is afraid that if I don't, I could be the hex that makes them lose. Like not clapping for Tinkerbell, not believing in your team, could kill them. As the VOLS are still adjusting to the new coach (again), and the after math of Lane Kiffin, it looks as if we may have a few more "rebuilding years" to go. I keep clapping and believing, and am hopeful that it will all come together sooner rather than later.
In the end this week was below average. 21/45 But I was reminded of something this week, that I learned a long time ago.... the coin toss applies to more than just who starts the game off with a kick!
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