Fem Football Week 6 - Murphys Law

After last weeks little experiment, I decided to go back to my usual science in my picks. Now as it is not really proprietary info, I don't mind sharing a bit of my personal picking logic.

I go to the teams ESPN page. I look at passing yards, rushing yards, previous scores, influential injuries, and a few other minor stats and weigh that against the same of the opponent. Then I take that and weigh it against the spread. While some think its an archaic way to to pick football, it definitely adds some extra oomph to the picks. Sometimes the spread is just outrageous, and you think there is no way the team can win by that much. Ya never really know. Teams have stomped a 3 point spread with a score of 60-0, or not come close to covering a 35 point spread and barely winning by a field goal. Regardless, the spread is part of the action in the betting world, and my little "upick" world. So with those factors all calculated, I pick my teams and hope for the best.

Week 6 had a few hard to call spreads. Michigan (favored +5) v Michigan State. Not only did they NOT cover a 5 point spread, they LOST 34-17! UGH.

LSU 33 v Florida 29 (favored +7.5)

S Carolina 35 v Alabama 21 (favored +8)

shall I go on?

TCU had a 35 point spread to cover over Wyoming, and did so with 45-0 win. Now, while I fully appreciate TCU's perfect record and expected them to win, I did not expect the little Horny Frogs to deliver quite so well. I sadly picked the Cowboys to not allow coverage! ACK. I am going to take TCU over BYU next week. GO FROGS

Out of pure loyalty I ALWAYS pick Tennessee to win. Part of me is afraid that if I don't, I could be the hex that makes them lose. Like not clapping for Tinkerbell, not believing in your team, could kill them. As the VOLS are still adjusting to the new coach (again), and the after math of Lane Kiffin, it looks as if we may have a few more "rebuilding years" to go. I keep clapping and believing, and am hopeful that it will all come together sooner rather than later.

In the end this week was below average. 21/45 But I was reminded of something this week, that I learned a long time ago.... the coin toss applies to more than just who starts the game off with a kick!

Fem Football Week 5 - Missed it by a Hair Cut

During week 4, I watched parts of the Penn State vs Temple game, and I noticed one of the players take his helmet off. His hair, although nicely kept, seemed to not be phased by the helmet. I do not recall his name or jersey number, just his hair. Looked like "going out" hair, not football hair. This led to an irrational line of thinking. Try to follow along.

I wonder how long it takes him to do his hair. Hair gel? wax? hmmmm. Penn State is not playing too well right now, wonder if he is more concerned with the damage the helmet is doing to his hair? hahahhah... I am sure a guy in a football game does not care about his hair.

That however, is how I decided to do the next weeks (5) picks. I will say for the record, I did not google every player, just the quarterbacks, and picked the team with the quarterback who had what appeared to be the most low maintenance hair. I went 25/47 in the picks -roughly 53% accurate even against the spread, while using hairstyles as my gauge. I would have fared only slightly higher with 27/47 if I had done the picks based on my usual routine of stats comparisons, and scores in previous games, etc. Not too bad. The competitive side of me wishes I had gone my usual route, so I could move up the ranks a bit in the picks. I am currently tied for 9th out of 70. But in the end, it was a fun experiment.

To fulfill your curiosity, here are a few examples of my picks using the first 3 games in the list

Oklahoma's Landry Jones vs Texas' Garrett Gilbert

Both are cute, and about the same length, so I had to delve a little deeper, and go with Texas, since Landry adds the "widows peak" to the front of his hair. Seeing the little extra he went with his hair, should have tipped me off to the extra he puts in the game.
OU 28 v Texas 20


Connecticut's Zach Frazer vs Vandy's Larry Smith

You can imagine my panic when I started googling this one. As much as I would love to see Vandy win, after all they are a Tennessee team, and one of the Nashville Home Teams, its not a likely outcome. I was pretty relieved to see Larry's Lovely Locks hanging out of his skull cap. Pretty hair. Not a pretty game
Connecticut 40 v Vandy 21



Ohio's Boo Jackson vs E Michigan's Alex Gillet

Eh. Ok. Confession. I cheated on this one after these photos. Sorry Alex. You look like you throw like a girl. So I cheated and rationalized that Boo doesn't do his own hair, so his maintenance is nil. :)
Ohio 30 v E Mich 17

Fem Football Week 4 part 2

So I finished out ok in the week 4 picks. There were 47 games selected for week 4, and I was glad to see I was not the only one thrown off by the match ups of the week. I finished with a middle of the road 23/47 There were a lot of surprising wins and losses - as there are every week. This set just seemed to be extra strange and WTF worthy. NC State over Georgia Tech?

Ohio State won 73-20 over Eastern Mich. I think they magically added time to the game, or doubled down on the shoe!! Impressive maybe, but I am giving them a penalty for excessive showboating.

I reveled in the Texas loss even though I had picked them to win. My husband is a Sooner which makes me a Sooner supporter by default. Speaking of, boy did I under estimate CINCY! Yes the Sooners won, but it felt less like an actual win and more like - when a big brother runs slower than he actually can, in order to make the little brother feel good about himself when he almost beats him to the finish line - Only to screw around too much and actually almost lose. While the Sooners were not trying to let the Bearcats win - it was hard to identify the real underdog in that game.

Bleh. Lets talk about a few of the upcoming games as this last week gave me a headache. All the teeth clenching and yelling, head shaking and banging against the wall has left me dizzy.

Which brings me to the Texas v Oklahoma game. Texas gets the sympathy vote after the shooting on campus, but after their succssful loss to UCLA, its a hard sell even with the spread in their favor by 3.5 Whats a girl to do?

Vanderbilt is back to play like the little Rudy's we saw vs Mississippi. I am pulling hard for them in hopes this magic lasts - and I think it should go on at least a little while longer vs the huskeys.

Yes there are many a many more games in week 5, but I am going to end on Tennessee vs LSU

I am scratching my head. Logic says LSU should have this in the bag. I am pretty sure that Les Miles has a standing order to execute the weakest links of the team every week. So to be the under dog in this match up, I think these dogs are in a corner. I still take Tennessee in this game. I think its just crazy enough to be reality after last week. GO VOLS

till next time -

XOXO